Putin and Trump's relationship has soured - but behind the posturing, a Ukraine deal is still possible
Russia's Military Engagement in Ukraine
Russian forces have been stationed along the Ukraine border since the 2014 annexation of Crimea. Tensions between the two nations have grown, with NATO accusing Moscow of gathering around 100,000 troops near the border. The Kremlin has repeatedly denied that it is preparing for a new attack.
The Beginning of Trumps' Diplomacy with Russia and Ukraine
During his presidency, Trump pursued warmer relations with Russia and sought to shift away from Europe and toward the Baltic states and Ukraine. However, his efforts to strengthen U.S.-Russian relations and achieve a Ukraine peace deal were unsuccessful. Trump's diplomatic initiatives have been criticized for prioritizing narrow transactional interests over broader geopolitical concerns. His impeachment and subsequent acquittal on charges of obstructing Congress in its investigation of Ukraine also hampered his ability to conduct foreign policy.
Possible Ukraine Deal
Despite the deterioration in the relationship between Putin and Trump, there is still scope for a Ukraine deal to be brokered. A pact between the three nations could lead to the withdrawal of Russian troops from the border, easing tensions and reducing fears of an imminent invasion. Such a deal would be a major diplomatic achievement and could be a stepping stone to broader agreements between Russia, Ukraine, and the West.
Conclusion
Despite the current tensions between Russia and the West, a potential deal between Russia, the US, and Ukraine remains possible. While the future of Ukraine remains uncertain, the withdrawal of troops from the border and a new diplomatic initiative could be significant steps towards peace.